Rollout für: Robertie, "Advanced Backgammon, Vol. 2" (Neuausgabe 1991), Problem Nr. 332


SCHWARZ am Zug; Cube Action?

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| ' ' '1O ' '|   | '1X1O3X4X2O|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|                 |   |                 |
|1O ' ' ' '2O| 2 |3O1O2O2O ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: WEISS 47, SCHWARZ 148
Position ID: 3gkAALF1gxDEAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• Robertie empfiehlt: Redouble - Take

Alert: wrong double ( -0,136)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0,393 
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0,782 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,218
3.Double, take +0,646 -0,136
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (38,5%)
Rollout details
 WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player SCHWARZ owns 2-cube0,7450,0000,000-0,2550,0850,012 +0,393 +0,782
Standard error0,0020,0000,000-0,0020,0010,001 0,004 0,009
Player WEISS owns 4-cube0,7470,0000,000-0,2530,0850,012 +0,791 +0,646
Standard error0,0020,0000,000-0,0020,0010,001 0,009 0,012
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 996970747 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

 


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